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2024-12-13 04:36:52

Jingxing Paper: The second phase of Malay project is expected to start in the first quarter of 2025. Jingxing Paper said in an institutional survey on December 9 that the capacity utilization rate of the company's packaging paper is relatively high, except for necessary maintenance and downtime, it is basically in the state of full-load operation, and the annual output this year is about 1.5 million tons. On the issue of the company's capital expenditure plan in the later period, Jingxing Paper said that the company's largest capital expenditure plan at present is the Malay Phase II project, which is expected to be officially launched in the first quarter of next year, with an estimated construction period of two years.253 companies have signed orders for the 16th China Air Show, and the 15th China Air Show was successfully concluded in Zhuhai on November 17th this year. In order to book the next booth as soon as possible, 253 companies have signed orders for the 16th China Air Show, with an exhibition area of over 34,000 square meters. It is reported that the 15th Air Show attracted 1022 exhibitors from 47 countries and regions, and the number of exhibitors reached a record high. The 16th China Air Show will be held in Zhuhai from November 10 to 15, 2026.German Finance Minister: We should discuss the specific ideas of European defense. We want specific ideas, not Eurobonds.


Chengtou Holdings: The subsidiary plans to invest 640 million yuan to participate in the establishment of a limited partnership and acquire the Caobao Road project. Chengtou Holdings announced on the evening of December 9 that the company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Housing Leasing Company, plans to jointly establish a limited partnership with the Shanghai State-owned Stock Assets Revitalization Private Equity Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) (hereinafter referred to as "State-owned Inventory Fund"), with the contribution of the partnership not exceeding 800 million yuan, of which the housing leasing company is the limited partner. The partnership enterprise will take part in the acquisition of 100% equity of Shanghai Xinbanyu Real Estate Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the target company") and the creditor's rights of shareholders' loan enjoyed by Huaxin Real Estate of the target company with its own and self-raised funds as the main body, and then invest in the rental housing property project of plot 244-19 of Tianlin Plate in Xuhui District (hereinafter referred to as "Caobao Road Project"). If the acquisition is completed, the target company will be included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements.Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this is likely to mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. 


Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.Hailiang shares: planning to invest in Jinlong Group and cooperative management. Hailiang shares announced that the company plans to invest no more than 1 billion yuan to acquire part of the shares of Jinlong Group held by Chongqing Wanzhou Economic and Technological Development (Group) Co., Ltd., and at the same time, Hailiang shares plan to cooperate with Jinlong Group. This transaction does not constitute a connected transaction or a major asset restructuring.Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "

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